Dynasty Scatter-Graph
March 16th, 2017
So I've been very active this year in the post draft rankings and such. Like the past couple years these are based off of player projections and age in the scatter graphs. And though there were a few busts last year the trend has been fairly accurate. Well except for Zack, who I called out as the favorite to win and had a bust year compared to what was predicted. So let's put up the previous two years then the 2017 season.
2015 Scatter-graph
That above is the 2015 season and indicates the current owner and where the team was on the scatter graph. It's more similar to the current year's scatter graph as it shows teams in different phases. But unlike the the current year, the teams are not as grouped as well.
2016 Scatter-graph
The 2016 season abovereally had about 10 favorites to go the distance. And then Jordan kinda came out of nowhere to make a Championship run. Nater was also significantly better than what this table indicated.
2017 Scatter-graph
One thing that is apparent this year is that Steve has turned into one of the top teams in the league this time around. However he is in the toughest division year and will likely have a worse record than predicted but still the favorite to win it all.
His biggest contenders to keep up with him this year though I'd say would be Ole Nater (even though he is projected last) if his players keep improving faster than expected. Jon, who has a similar situation and both Andys. Jay always has a way of poking his head in there to make a Championship run and then of course you have myself who won it all last year with Jordan, who finished second. Though both mine and Jordan's teams do not appear as strong.
AL EAST
TEAM RECORD GBK POINTS
T. Kluge 13-08 ----- 6,465.0
B. Kluge 12-09 -1.0 6,131.0
R. Jones 05-16 -8.0 5,756.5
J. Kelm 05-16 -8.0 5,636.0
AL WEST
TEAM RECORD GBK POINTS
S. Boviall 17-04 ----- 6,888.0
A. Coak 14-07 -3.0 6,665.5
Z. Peters 12-09 -5.0 6,490.5
N. Good 11-10 -6.0 6,310.5
NL EAST
TEAM RECORD GBK POINTS
J. Jones 15-06 ----- 6,640.0
J. Cook 13-08 -2.0 6,350.5
K. Spector 08-13 -7.0 6,097.0
B. Brenneman 06-15 -9.0 6,004.0
NL WEST
TEAM RECORD GBK POINTS
A. Namisnak 16-05 ----- 6,560.5
S. Hess 10-11 -6.0 6,177.0
J. Good 07-14 -9.0 6,035.5
C. Watson 04-17 -12.0 5,742.5
RANK) PLAYER | OWNER | SIGNED
1) Yoan Moncada, 2B, Chicago White Sox (Age: 21) | Nate Good | 5 Years at $72
| 2) Andrew Benintendi, OF, Boston Red Sox (Age: 22) | Nate Good | 4 Years at $69
| 3) Dansby Swanson, SS, Atlanta Braves (Age: 23) | Jeff Kelm | 7 Years at $80
| 4) Victor Robles, OF, Washington Nationals (Age: 19) | Tyler Kluge | 5 Years at $72
| 5) Amed Rosario, SS, New York Mets (Age: 21) | Jay Cook | Drafted 98th
| 6) Brendan Rodgers, SS, Colorado Rockies (Age: 20) | Brad Brenneman | 2 Years at $63
| 7) Austin Meadows, OF, Pittsburgh Pirates (Age: 21) | Brad Brenneman | 2 Years at $63
| 8) Rafael Devers, 3B, Boston Red Sox (Age: 20) | Jeff Kelm | Drafted 88th
| 9) J.P. Crawford, SS, Philadelphia Phillies (Age: 22) | Rob Jones | 2 Years at $63
| 10) Clint Frazier, OF, New York Yankees (Age: 22) | Jeff Kelm | 2 Years at $63
| 11) Lucas Giolito, RHP, Chicago White Sox (Age: 22) | Brad Brenneman | 2 Years at $63
| 12) Eloy Jimenez, OF, Chicago Cubs (Age: 20) | Andy Namisnak | Drafted 83rd
| 13) Raimel Tapia, OF, Colorado Rockies (Age: 23) | Bill Kluge | Drafted 139th
| 14) Franklin Barreto, SS/2B, Oakland Athletics (Age: 21) | Rob Jones | Drafted 107th
| 15) Nick Williams, OF, Philadelphia Phillies (Age: 23) | FREE AGENT |
| 16) Nick Senzel, 3B, Cincinnati Reds (Age: 21) | Jay Cook | Drafted 112th
| 17) Lewis Brinson, OF, Milwaukee Brewers (Age: 22) | Brad Brenneman | 2 Years at $63
| 18) Jorge Mateo, SS, New York Yankees (Age: 21) | FREE AGENT |
| 19) Josh Bell, 1B/OF, Pittsburgh Pirates (Age: 24) | Brad Brenneman | 3 Years at $66
| 20) Cody Bellinger, 1B/OF, Los Angeles Dodgers (Age: 21) | Chris Watson | Drafted 8th
| 21) Gleyber Torres, SS, New York Yankees (Age: 20) | Chris Watson | Drafted 5th
| 22) Manuel Margot, OF, San Diego Padres (Age: 22) | Jay Cook | 4 Years at $146
| 23) Tyler Glasnow, RHP, Pittsburgh Pirates (Age: 23) | Brad Brenneman | 2 Years at $63
| 24) Alex Reyes, RHP, St. Louis Cardinals (Age: 22) | Rob Jones | 3 Years at $66
| 25) Corey Ray, OF, Milwaukee Brewers (Age: 22) | FREE AGENT |
| 26) Ronald Acuna, OF, Atlanta Braves (Age: 19) | FREE AGENT |
| 27) Aaron Judge, OF, New York Yankees (Age: 24) | Jeff Kelm | 3 Years at $66
| 28) Hunter Renfroe, OF, San Diego Padres (Age: 25) | Jeff Kelm | 4 Years at $69
| 29) Jorge Alfaro, C, Philadelphia Phillies (Age: 23) | FREE AGENT |
| 30) Robert Gsellman, RHP, New York Mets (Age: 23) | Stephen Boviall | Drafter 97th
| 31) Kyle Tucker, OF, Houston Astros (Age: 20) | FREE AGENT |
| 32) Francis Martes, RHP, Houston Astros (Age: 21) | FREE AGENT |
| 33) Willy Adames, SS, Tampa Bay Rays (Age: 21) | FREE AGENT |
| 34) Jason Groome, LHP, Boston Red Sox (Age: 18) | FREE AGENT |
| 35) Anderson Espinoza, RHP, San Diego Padres (Age: 19) | Tyler Kluge | Drafted 100th
| 36) Ozzie Albies, 2B/SS, Atlanta Braves (Age: 20) | Stephen Boviall | Drafted 126th
| 37) Dan Vogelbach, 1B/UT, Seattle Mariners (Age: 24) | FREE AGENT |
| 38) Josh Hader, LHP, Milwaukee Brewers (Age: 22) | FREE AGENT |
| 39) Zack Collins, C, Chicago White Sox (Age: 22) | N/A |
| 40) Michael Kopech, RHP, Chicago White Sox (Age: 20) | Tyler Kluge | Drafted 114th
| 41) Yadier Alvarez, RHP, Los Angeles Dodgers (Age: 21) | FREE AGENT |
| 42) Bradley Zimmer, OF, Cleveland Indians (Age: 24) | Kyle Spector | Drafted 134th
| 43) Mickey Moniak, OF, Philadelphia Phillies (Age: 18) | Chris Watson | Drafted 89th
| 44) Isan Diaz, SS, Milwaukee Brewers (Age: 20) | FREE AGENT |
| 45) Brent Honeywell, RHP, Tampa Bay Rays (Age: 22) | FREE AGENT |
| 46) Tyler O’Neill, OF, Seattle Mariners (Age: 21) | FREE AGENT |
| 47) Ian Happ, 2B/OF, Chicago Cubs (Age: 22) | FREE AGENT |
| 48) Jesse Winker, OF, Cincinnati Reds (Age: 23) | FREE AGENT |
| 49) Kyle Lewis, OF, Seattle Mariners (Age: 21) | FREE AGENT |
| 50) Blake Rutherford, OF, New York Yankees (Age: 19) | FREE AGENT |
| 51) Reynaldo Lopez, RHP, Chicago White Sox (Age: 23) | FREE AGENT |
| 52) Amir Garrett, LHP, Cincinnati Reds (Age: 24) | FREE AGENT |
| 53) Alex Verdugo, OF, Los Angeles Dodgers (Age: 20) | FREE AGENT |
| 54) Francisco Mejia, C, Cleveland Indians (Age: 21) | Rob Jones | Drafted 128th
| 55) Leody Taveras, OF, Texas Rangers (Age: 18) | FREE AGENT |
| 56) Juan Soto, OF, Washington Nationals (Age: 18) | N/A |
| 57) Yusniel Diaz, OF, Los Angeles Dodgers (Age: 20) | FREE AGENT |
| 58) Sean Newcomb, LHP, Atlanta Braves (Age: 23) | FREE AGENT |
| 59) A.J. Puk, LHP, Oakland Athletics (Age: 21) | N/A |
| 60) Nick Gordon, SS, Minnesota Twins (Age: 21) | FREE AGENT |
| 61) Vladimir Guerrero Jr., 3B, Toronto Blue Jays (Age: 18) | FREE AGENT |
| |
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Steve has made great strides the past couple years. It took five years toy get that first playoff win last year and he is looking great to improve upon that 4th place finish last year. He leads the league in starting pitching and his bullpen is second best in the league. That combination in addition to some of MLB's best young infielders he should have very little problems when it comes to making the playoffs. The only downside I see to this squad is Hill & Lester are aging and may not be what they project. Fortunately his other SPs are quite good if one or both falter this season.
Group Projection Average Age
C/IF 88.0 (7th) 27.85 (5th)
OF/DH 58.3 (14th) 27.27 (7th)
SPs 125.6 (1st) 30.57 (15th)
RPs 56.5 (2nd) 32.04 (14th)
DEPTH 17.4 (10th) 26.03 (8th)
OVERALL 328.0 (1st) 28.70 (11th)
Key Additions Key Losses
Robert Gzellman (Draft) None
Andy had a shockingly poor year last season for the bar that I set for him. He is of course second in these rankings but not expected to even win his own division. With a full season of Schwarber on his team he is expected to be improved and he has already figured out the system as he has 9 starting pitchers. Most of them are above average too. As a result of that, the depth that he is putting forth is greater than everyone else bench. His pitching squad ranks top 5 and his only drawback is a below average batting squad. But it would not be shocking to see that make it to around average if they have decent seasons.
Group Projection Average Age
C/IF 80.0 (10th) 28.53 (7th)
OF/DH 60.1 (13th) 26.51 (5th)
SPs 98.1 (5th) 26.95 (6th)
RPs 54.0 (4th) 27.45 (2nd)
DEPTH 42.4 (1st) 28.47 (13th)
OVERALL 317.4 (2nd) 27.66 (8th)
Key Additions Key Losses
Garrett Richards (Trade) Yasmani Tomas
Jonny is starting to make ripples finally with his team, led by Mookie Betts. He's the favorite to win the top NL position here in the post draft rankings. To help show you the progress of this masterful team builder, Jon was dead last in both 2013 and 2014, moved up to 14th in 2015. Last year he clinched his first playoff birth in the league and is now looking to be a true Championship contender with a bunch of kids and a handful of aging guys. His team really isn't eilite in any particular position but above average in everything except relief pitching. The potential is there to really have something special though if one or two of his prospects have breakout years.
Group Projection Average Age
C/IF 91.1 (4th) 28.72 (9th)
OF/DH 68.8 (8th) 27.66 (8th)
SPs 106.0 (3rd) 28.66 (10th)
RPs 43.3 (12th) 27.21 (1st)
DEPTH 24.1 (5th) 25.27 (5th)
OVERALL 316.2 (3rd) 27.33 (6th)
Key Additions Key Losses
Daniel Murphy (Trade) Steve Cishek
Jose Quintana (Trade)
Snak's team is expected to be around the same as last year when he finished second in points scored but playoff run ended prematurely with Jordan ousting him in the first round with a major upset. He has an aging offense which is something to keep an eye on but they are currently projected to be average. His pitching ranks top three so he will be heavily relying on them to make a run. Once again this year though, The Snak is in the easiest division and should have no problem taking the division title home. So at least there's his entry fee being returned to him right?
Group Projection Average Age
C/IF 84.9 (8th) 30.10 (15th)
OF/DH 65.7 (10th) 31.58 (14th)
SPs 102.1 (4th) 29.59 (12th)
RPs 58.3 (1st) 29.23 (7th)
DEPTH 18.4 (9th) 25.55 (6th)
OVERALL 312.4 (4th) 28.82 (12th)
Key Additions Key Losses
Jason Kipnis (Trade) Carlos Correa
Jose Ramirez (Trade) David Ortiz
Brandon Crawford (Trade)
John Lackey (Draft)
Coming in with the fifth best offense in the league and ranking fifth overall is last year's favorite. It was quite the disappointing year as a whole for Pete. The letdown led to a 10-11 record and it's not hard to see why when McCutchen and Kuechel both had horrendous years compared to 2015. The team is getting up there in age and he doesn't really own a prospect right now. In fact he only has one player under 25 (Davies) and only one other player that is not yet 26 (Stroman). So he has one to two, maybe 3 years before a full rebuild is in order.
Group Projection Average Age
C/IF 88.7 (6th) 30.08 (14th)
OF/DH 70.1 (6th) 29.48 (11th)
SPs 90.4 (13th) 28.36 (9th)
RPs 56.5 (3rd) 30.54 (10th)
DEPTH 20.2 (8th) 31.48 (16th)
OVERALL 309.1 (5th) 30.07 (15th)
Key Additions Key Losses
Garrett Richards (Trade) Yasmani Tomas
I, the defending champion, am ranked slightly higher than last year but am feeling mildly worse to start the season. My pitching was about average last year and is now ranked second to last this year. Be that as it may however, my batting is still tops in the league, led primarily by my infielders. With the new rules I am stashing away three prospects which really drops the age down a bit. The team is older as a whole and injuries will likely be a factor as the season progresses.
Group Projection Average Age
C/IF 98.6 (1st) 26.87 (3rd)
OF/DH 70.1 (6th) 26.35 (4th)
SPs 86.1 (15th) 27.20 (7th)
RPs 46.5 (10th) 28.46 (5th)
DEPTH 23.3 (6th) 26.80 (12th)
OVERALL 307.8 (6th) 27.15 (4th)
Key Additions Key Losses
Carlos Correa (Trade) Jean Segura
Trevor Story (Trade) Jason Kipnis
James Paxton (Draft) Jose Ramirez
Robert Gsellman
A team full of the elderly, haha. That number, like with many other teams, gets inflated with the bullpen. Currently predicted to finish as the top NL Wild Card team he will have to battle with injuries and underperformers that come with an aging team. He has 11 players over the age of 32 at this time but has started to get some great young talent with the four young players predicted to be on his bench. As has been the name of his game, he's riding the backs of his super-elite starting pitching. If the team can stay healthy though it is not out of the realm of possibility that he will once again take the scoring title like he did last year!
Group Projection Average Age
C/IF 81.8 (9th) 32.82 (16th)
OF/DH 76.3 (1st) 33.21 (15th)
SPs 115.5 (2nd) 29.80 (13th)
RPs 39.5 (14th) 34.19 (16th)
DEPTH 5.7 (15th) 26.48 (9th)
OVERALL 302.4 (7th) 31.03 (16th)
Key Additions Key Losses
None Ben Zobrist
Jose Fernandez (RIP)
Taking over for Big Shon (who did not pay), my dad is taking over another one of those aging teams. While the debacle that was created by Shon has passed, the win now attitude is still here as this team has another year or two before a full rebuild is needed. He has the core to build around though with Goldy, Xander Bogarts, Mallex Smith and even Tapia so it's not like it will be that bad. But the #2 offense in the league is going to be looking for a little bit better pitching staff as the year goes on. If Bill can make a better pitching staff, he will easily be the top team in the AL East.
Group Projection Average Age
C/IF 91.0 (3rd) 29.78 (13th)
OF/DH 74.4 (2nd) 33.94 (16th)
SPs 92.4 (10th) 30.01 (14th)
RPs 44.0 (11th) 30.73 (11th)
DEPTH 14.4 (13th) 26.71 (10th)
OVERALL 300.6 (8th) 29.78 (14th)
Key Additions Key Losses
Ryan Madson (Draft) Cole Hamesl
Drew Smyly (Draft) John Lackey
Finally this guy's team of young studs is starting to pay dividends. He is the only team this year to keep everyone and barring him dropping any players it should be the same for next season too. Personally, I find it a bit curious how is projected this low in the rankings. His offense is there in the top three and his pitching albeit young, actually has great potential. He won the AL West last year with a 13-8 record and a similar if not greater outcome can definitely happen. It's only unfortunate that his division is incredibly strong this year and will not be easy to repeat.
Group Projection Average Age
C/IF 93.6 (2nd) 28.38 (6th)
OF/DH 73.2 (3rd) 24.58 (1st)
SPs 84.8 (16th) 26.53 (4th)
RPs 49.8 (7th) 29.52 (9th)
DEPTH 15.4 (12th) 26.71 (11th)
OVERALL 300.5 (9th) 27.11 (3rd)
Key Additions Key Losses
None None
We are starting to get to the area where teams are a bit subpar. But the significance here is an improvement from last year. Hess has finished dead last over the past couple years notching just six wins. This year however with a moderately young pitching squad he will be able to be a playoff contender for the NL Wild Card this year. He currently is holding 8 starting pitcher that will help bolster his lack of points he will get from a weak batting order. It should be noted that he is going into the season like a few other teams, with only 4 relievers.
Group Projection Average Age
C/IF 73.8 (13th) 25.70 (2nd)
OF/DH 63.9 (11th) 29.43 (10th)
SPs 93.8 (7th) 26.68 (5th)
RPs 41.0 (13th) 28.66 (6th)
DEPTH 37.7 (2nd) 29.90 (15th)
OVERALL 294.2 (10th) 28.14 (10th)
Key Additions Key Losses
None None
Spectrocity assumes possession of Stillion's old team. And unlike the questionable 8 hours of time between his back to back picks in the draft the team is actually better than what this ranking would indicate. With one of the youngest starting pitching squads in the league and plenty of potential to be a top three squad. His batting as a whole is not all that bad and I believe will perform better than this indicates. He may not be ready to compete with Snak at the top of the division at this time but give it a couple years and he could build a Championship contender, not just a playoff contender.
Group Projection Average Age
C/IF 75.0 (11th) 28.98 (10th)
OF/DH 73.2 (3rd) 26.23 (3rd)
SPs 93.2 (8th) 25.71 (3rd)
RPs 39.3 (15th) 31.75 (13th)
DEPTH 25.4 (4th) 25.63 (7th)
OVERALL 290.3 (11th) 27.39 (7th)
Key Additions Key Losses
Joey Ross (Draft) None
Sean Manaea (Draft)
Can lightning strike the same place twice for last year's runner up? Last year Jordan was ranked right about here to start the season and it took a hot streak at the end of the year to make a deep run into the playoffs. Like other teams that are getting old Jordan will need to consider getting younger fast. The difference is that his old players do not score as much as Jay or Bill's. I'm going to say it like I did last year, your biggest weakness again this year will be a lack of free agent cash. If and when you have injuries you will be put in a serious bind.
Group Projection Average Age
C/IF 72.5 (15th) 29.42 (12th)
OF/DH 67.0 (9th) 30.10 (12th)
SPs 92.8 (9th) 30.79 (16th)
RPs 49.3 (9th) 28.03 (4th)
DEPTH 21.4 (7th) 29.25 (14th)
OVERALL 287.4 (12th) 29.53 (13th)
Key Additions Key Losses
Anthony Rendon (Trade) Yordano Ventura (RIP)
Mike Moustakas (Trade)
As Brad went into a full blown rebuild in the middle of last season he got a bunch of good prospects. As a result he now has an insanely young team and of course a very low scoring team until they become major league players and start having breakouts. Fortunately for him, most of his players will begin making their strides this year. He won't be a true contender for another year or two due to the inconsistencies of a young team, but his future ceiling appears to be similar to Ole Nater's, maybe even higher because Brad knows when to drop a player. (That's right Nate, I said it)
Group Projection Average Age
C/IF 75.0 (11th) 25.26 (1st)
OF/DH 71.3 (5th) 26.52 (6th)
SPs 88.5 (14th) 25.30 (2nd)
RPs 37.3 (16th) 29.42 (8th)
DEPTH 29.4 (3rd) 23.71 (2nd)
OVERALL 285.9 (13th) 25.70 (1st)
Key Additions Key Losses
None None
Similarly to Brad's team, Rob has a very young team as a whole and has a lot of batting prospects that may get called up this year. The drawback is that he can't really utilize the new pitching rules to the fullest and now with Alex Reyes out until the next year he is handcuffed. Say he drops two of those prospects to get a couple starting pitchers, he would be competing with the Kluges at the top of the division.
Group Projection Average Age
C/IF 89.3 (5th) 28.61 (8th)
OF/DH 53.9 (16th) 25.55 (2nd)
SPs 92.3 (11th) 27.98 (8th)
RPs 49.5 (8th) 31.49 (12th)
DEPTH 4.0 (16th) 22.76 (1st)
OVERALL 274.1 (14th) 26.96 (2nd)
Key Additions Key Losses
None Anthony Rendon
Chris is taking over a team that was in shambles and has begun the long process of a team overhaul. The offense is the worst in the league and until some of his prospects come up and develop into form it will likely be that way at least until 2019. He can ride the pitching train he has put forth to have a mediocre season, but it's easy to write this season off. He has two free seasons to repair the derailed train here. Basing off of the first impression here, I believe he will not have any problems fixing it.
Group Projection Average Age
C/IF 65.1 (16th) 29.12 (11th)
OF/DH 60.8 (12th) 30.44 (13th)
SPs 96.6 (6th) 29.12 (11th)
RPs 50.3 (6th) 27.94 (3rd)
DEPTH 15.6 (11th) 24.51 (4th)
OVERALL 273.5 (15th) 27.99 (9th)
Key Additions Key Losses
Lorenzo Cain (Draft) Justin Bour
Cole Hamels (Draft) Raisel Iglesias
Tony Watson (Draft)
I'm not playing favorites here Jeff, I promise. Your team is better than this and we both know that I'm not going to lie though, I can't believe you wanted Segura for Story... That aside though, you have some premium prospects and a very good young pitching staff. A first basemen that can supply 3+ points I believe will do your team wonders and despite being at the bottom, the league in it's entirety is very close and you can certainly be a playoff contender this year and beyond. The projections indicate 5 wins but I'd say 12 is not out of the realm of possibility.
Group Projection Average Age
C/IF 73.8 (13th) 26.91 (4th)
OF/DH 55.2 (15th) 28.91 (9th)
SPs 91.3 (12th) 24.51 (1st)
RPs 50.5 (5th) 32.51 (15th)
DEPTH 12.2 (14th) 24.00 (3rd)
OVERALL 268.4 (16th) 27.17 (5th)
Key Additions Key Losses
Jean Segura (Trade) Trevor Story
Francisco Rodriguez (Trade)
Jharil Cotton (Draft)