Those of you who know me know that I love baseball, stats and Microsoft excel.  For years I've been posting stuff on the website but of all those things this has been my favorite so far.  Last year I made a scatter graph for the first time depicting both age and projected score.  It really shown an unusual trend of the winning teams additionally it hinted at the next winner.  As you can see from the 2015 graph that it indicated a trend with the aging teams.  Jeff (formerly Tito) won in 2011, Brad won 2012, Rob won 2013 & 2014 and as you all know Jay won in 2015.  After all I consider the age of 28 the peak of a player's potential and though that peak may last for a few years injuries start becoming an issue and thus do not score as much.
     Now granted there are people that drop most players even after winning and redraft pretty well like Jay.  Though a bit unorthodox it's quite the strategy and proven a winning strategy at that.  But one thing to remember is that Jay's starting pitching is flat out sick.  Like King Felix is his fifth best starter type of sick.  All he needs is an average batting squad and decent bullpen and it's a done deal.  But I need not continue boast about that let's boast about how impressive of rosters that Zack & Snak have put together.  Heck Pete there is projected to score so much that he is technically off the chart.  But I didn't want to redo everything so I just tossed that there.  After all it's only 0.7 points above the top.  He along with Snak & Shon are the favorites to win this year.  They lead a group of teams with aging players but have all really improved in terms of points scored and that's the name of the game. 

     If the past is any indication of the future though the teams that are younger tend to go further.  Which basically means I'm going to win!  ... I wish, however the projected standings say otherwise.  So let's get in to those:

AL EAST
TEAM           RECORD   GBK   POINTS   
R. Jones       15-06   -----  6,537.5
S. McCullough  14-07   -1.0   6,897.5   2nd Wild Card
T. Kluge       11-10   -4.0   6,507.0
J. Kelm        02-19   -13.0  5,705.0

AL WEST

TEAM           RECORD   GBK   POINTS   
Z. Peters      16-05   -----  7,050.0
S. Boviall     15-06   -1.0   6,829.5   1st Wild Card
A. Coak        13-08   -3.0   6,731.0 
N. Good        02-19   -14.0  5,394.5

NL EAST
TEAM           RECORD   GBK   POINTS   
B. Brenneman   13-08   -----  6,685.0   Beats Jay in TB
J. Cook        13-08   -----  6,605.0   1st Wild Card
L. Stillion    12-09   -1.0   6,368.5   2nd Wild Card
J. Jones       09-12   -4.0   6,203.0

NL WEST

TEAM           RECORD   GBK   POINTS   
A. Namisnak    18-03   -----  7,003.0
S. Hess        06-15   -12.0  6,129.5   
J. Good        06-15   -12.0  5,807.5
B. Kluge       03-18   -15.0  5,701.5

     Yeah, I know, it's the first thing that caught my eye too...  I'm going to finish sixth best in the AL...  What a crock...  Anyway not breaking this down on a team by team basis but it seems that both AL divisions are top heavy.  But there is a key difference between the two.  Nate's team is going nowhere, Jeff's team will be getting better as the season progresses with all the young players he picked up in the draft this year and towards the end of last year and though will not contend this year Shon's going to be looking at rebuilding within a couple years and Rob & I will have aging squads so two years from now Jeff can possibly win the division.

     The NL East will be known as the "group of death" this year where all four teams could potentially win the division.  The projections show that everyone in the division will beat up on each other but Bradley beats Jay to win the division by 80 points (they split the season series 2-2).  Andy will clinch his division by week 14 seeing that there is no standing competition for him in his division.

#1  Zack Peters
He didn't have to do very much to improve the team and quite honestly his team is pretty average except for his bullpen mafia with four quality closers in addition to one of the elite setup men in the game in Joe Smith.  He does of an aging team however and his starting pitching ranks the oldest out of all the teams and he has six of the nine batters at age 28 or older so the injury risk is concerning.

GroupProj. Ave. Age
C/IF84.3 29.09
OF/DH75.0 28.28
SPs104.3 30.39
RPs74.8 28.85
DEPTH23.2 28.10
OVERALL335.7 28.94

Key Additions                        Key Losses
Hyun Soo Kim (Draft)                 Ryan Zimmerman  
                                     Lance Lynn

#2  Andy Namisnak
Comparing Andy's team to Zack's they are extremely similar in regards to the group parings below and how much each of them score.  Andy's team is slightly older but is better built for the future.  You take away Dickey (41 years old), Ortix (40) & Ziegler and his team's age is about a year and a half lower.  With that in mind he is primed better than anyone else in the league to really make a huge dynasty run.  Only weakness I foresee in the near future is outfield & utility age, which he has a solution for already with Zimmer and Soler sitting on the bench in the waiting.

GroupProj. Ave. Age
C/IF86.8 28.16
OF/DH68.8 31.73
SPs108.5 28.37
RPs73.0 30.22
DEPTH22.0 27.90
OVERALL333.5 29.12

Key Additions                        Key Losses
Joey Votto (Trade)                   Paul Goldschmidt 
Aroldis Chapman (Trade)              
Cody Allen (Trade)
Matt Kemp (Trade)
Bradley Zimmer (Draft)

#3  Shon McCullough
Another fairly old team but high scoring in most aspects comes Shon.  He made some big trades and completely turned over James Eagan's team.  His infield is ranked 2nd, starting pitching, relief pitching and depth all also in the top five as well.  Shon's only weakness is his aging outfield that is all on the downslope of each respective career.  Polonco being the exception but would be set as his main utility guy.  There are only three players under the age of 25 which indicates that after a short burst of a couple years Shon's going to need to reconstruct the foundation a bit.  One thing to watch is the same strategy that James used, Shon is following suit and has a couple starting RPs on the team. 

GroupProj. Ave. Age
C/IF89.3 29.10
OF/DH63.9 29.85
SPs113.8 28.68
RPs60.7 29.48
DEPTH26.1 30.17
OVERALL328.4 29.47

Key Additions                        Key Losses
Paul Goldschmidt (Trade)             Joey Votto
Ian Kinsler (Trade)                  Aroldis Chapman
Brett Gardner (Trade)                Cody Allen
Kyle Seagar (Trade)                  Anthony Rendon
Kendrys Morales (Draft)

#4  Stephen Boviall
Without a shadow of a doubt Steve's strength is his pitching squad.  And you'd think his SPs look good there.  He has a superprospect waiting to make it to majors in Giolito.  Speaking of superprospects, Seagar is expected to make his debut this season and will be the centerpiece to what is currently an average batting lineup.  The problem with Steve's rosters is that it is the oldest five in just about every group. But the his great young players should help bridge the gap in the coming years to keep Boviall a contender.

GroupProj. Ave. Age
C/IF82.5 29.58
OF/DH64.5 27.94
SPs123.2 28.75
RPs56.3 31.46
DEPTH23.9 27.95
OVERALL325.2 29.13

Key Additions                        Key Losses
Andrew Miller (Draft)                Greg Bird
Joc Peterson (Trade)                 Andrelton Simmons
J.T. Realmuto (Draft)                Yasmany Tomas
Clay Buccholz (Draft)

#5  Andy Coak
Andy took over an aging team from Josh Troyer.  At this point it's getting to be time to blow up the team.  He has ten players over the age of 32 now and is in the last year of legitimately contending a A-Roid, Cruz Wright Zobrist, K-Rod and Kazmir all start falling off the fantasy radar.  He has a strong depth already so even when the injury bug hits he should be alright for a little while.  Should the season start spiraling out of control it would be a good move to try to sell some of the older players to get or make room for a younger generation

GroupProj. Ave. Age
C/IF84.3 29.46
OF/DH70.7 31.32
SPs95.3 27.65
RPs64.0 29.17
DEPTH30.9 30.96
OVERALL320.5 29.70

Key Additions                        Key Losses
Kyle Schwarber (Trade)               Carlos Gomez
Starling Marte (Trade)               Francisco Liriano
Santiago Casilla (Trade/Draft)       Chris Sale
Kyle Hendricks (Draft)               Lucas Duda
Nathan Karns (Draft)
Alex Rodriquez (Draft)

#6  Brad Brenneman
Much like all the teams projected above Brad, his team is getting old.  But this is Brad Brenneman we are talking about so somehow he'll be able to trade his old players for one mediocre young player that would turn into the next Babe Ruth and all of the players he trades would be injury plagued for the rest of their respective careers...  Nonsense aside, Bradley has six players already over the age of 32 on his batting squad.  Regardless of age, his team ranks in the 7 to 10 range in all groups except for outfield and utility that is ranked second in the league.  Like all the other teams above it's going to about time to start getting younger likely starting next year.

GroupProj. Ave. Age
C/IF84.3 30.77
OF/DH80.0 30.70
SPs105.1 28.38
RPs53.3 30.08
DEPTH20.1 29.95
OVERALL318.3 29.95

Key Additions                        Key Losses
Jason Hammel (Draft)                 Fernando Rodney

#7 Jay Cook
The 2015 defending champion comes in the league looking for a repeat.  But shocking the world he drop most of his team.  Generally that sounds like a dangerous game to play and wish for success, but Jay has something most people can only dream of.  A starting pitching that can easily score 150+ points on a weekly basis.  You do that and it just takes a couple perfectly placed pickups through the year and he could be well on his way to winning it again, using the same strategy as 2015.  The Vice Admiral's also has the 2nd best depth in the league so should someone go down he should be able to recover nicely.  So why is he ranked at seventh and not the favorite to win it all?  His batting is projected to be 15th best in the league (Infield is 14th, outfield is 13th).  Additionally his bullpen is mediocre and is also ranked 15th in the league.  But again Jay has $460 free agent cash to start with so he can purchase his way into another championship and should be expected to be in the top four when the season ends.

GroupProj. Ave. Age
C/IF73.8 28.18
OF/DH62.0 30.55
SPs135.1 29.82
RPs40.8 29.75
DEPTH27.1 27.15
OVERALL314.5 28.95
Key Additions                        Key Losses
Chris Sale (Trade)                   Steven Matz
Lucas Duda (Trade)                   Lucas Duda (lol)
Byung Ho Park (Draft                 Kyle Schwarber
                                     Starling Marte
                                     Prince Fielder
                                     Santiago Casilla

#8  Rob Jones
Now we are going to start getting into the younger teams a bit.  Rob has finished in the top four in scoring all seven years he has been in the league and has won it three times in that span.  Last year he got shafted and missed the playoffs by a single game (still had a 12-8 record).  Despite that and the fact he is projected to score a lot less than Shon, Rob has a pretty soft schedule this year and projected to win the division.  His batters for the most part have hit the prime of their careers outside of Pujols and Beltre.  That being said though this is going to be a prime chance to win the league.  Even if he doesn't though he picked of some future studs that could start filling the void left from their elders starting next year.  That in combination of one of the youngest and best pitching squads in the league should keep him contending for years.  I see very few weaknesses here outside of maybe getting a new right fielder.

GroupProj. Ave. Age
C/IF94.9 31.80
OF/DH61.4 30.40
SPs115.5 26.59
RPs58.0 28.78
DEPTH5.5 24.28
OVERALL311.3 28.12

Key Additions                        Key Losses
Yoenis Cespedes (Trade)              Jason Heyward
Lorenzo Cain (Trade)                 Yordano Ventura
Nomar Mazara (Draft)                 James Shields
Yasmany Tomas (Draft)                Adam Lind
                                     Justin Morneau

#9  Tyler Kluge
Don't sleep on this team people.  I am primed for a big year with a lot of possible breakout players on the third youngest team in the league.  The pitching is a bit of a weakness ranked average in the projections.  But the batting is where the danger lies with sluggers all over the lineup and now with Brantley looking like he will start opening day and a decent bench to follow  it has become quite versatile and despite the projected 6th ranking can make a playoff push this year and a series of Championship runs in the coming years.

GroupProj. Ave. Age
C/IF85.6 26.71
OF/DH71.9 26.61
SPs96.6 26.63
RPs53.5 27.26
DEPTH26.1 26.88
OVERALL309.8 26.83

Key Additions                        Key Losses
Anthony Rizzo (Trade)                Giancarlo Stanton
Jason Heyward (Trade)                Yoenis Cespedes
Anthony Rendon (Trade)               Carlos Santana
Vincent Velasquez (Draft)            Ian Kinsler
                                     Brett Gardner
                                     Andrelton Simmons
                                     Kendrys Morales

#10  Lucas Stillion
The number three team in the Group of Death is the Q with a sick offense lead by Trout & Stanton.  If Puig should find his way and Perez continues to blossom into a Buster Posey like catcher then Stillion will be slaughtering a lot of opponents with just his offense alone.  His pitching isn't anything to look forward to either.  Granted I don't know why he drafted Axford and Capps but get those two out of the way and his bullpen will be above average to go along with his already slightly above average starting pitching.  Stillion's problem has been a lack of activity from a fantasy perspective if he would make pickups to replace players in a timely manner I think he'd be able to beat both Brad & Jay this year and in the future.

GroupProj. Ave. Age
C/IF77.5 28.47
OF/DH79.4 26.76
SPs106.5 25.71
RPs45.0 30.75
DEPTH18.2 27.65
OVERALL303.3 27.90

Key Additions                        Key Losses
Giancarlo Stanton (Trade)            Anthony Rizzo
Tyler Glasnow (Draft)                Denard Span
Jose Berrios (Draft)

#11  Jon Jones
This is one of the most appealing teams in the league right now just based off how great this will be in another year or two.  This probably won't be Jon's year but my God does he have a lot of future All Stars on the team.  And no we are not talking about prospects, no these guys are already in the league and playing.  His outfield is ranked number one in projected score.  It's also the youngest in the league.  His starting pitchers will get better with time which takes a little longer sometimes than the batters.  But that aside Jon's only weakness is the near future, this year to be exact.  After this year it appears that he will be a top five team going into the next decade.

GroupProj. Ave. Age
C/IF70.1 24.68
OF/DH81.2 25.35
SPs88.5 25.13
RPs65.7 28.56
DEPTH12.7 26.30
OVERALL295.4 26.04

Key Additions                        Key Losses
Steve Cishek (Trade)                 Joc Pederson
A.J. Reed (Draft)
David Peralta (Trade)

#12  Stacy Hess
It's not your time yet Hess.  But like Jon, give it a year and he will have a strong team.  However the ceiling may not quite be as high for Stacy's young squad.  I like the future his bullpen has in store especially with Osuna, Gott & Sanchez.   His starting pitching isn't that strong this year and has some mediocrity but that alright his batting should be able to bridge the gap that leaves as early as this year.  Weakness-wise again, I do not believe the ceiling here is as solid as Jon's however maybe not top 5 but definitely playoff contender.  Even this year he could make the playoffs due to a weak division.

GroupProj. Ave. Age
C/IF78.7 24.06
OF/DH67.6 29.57
SPs101.2 28.43
RPs41.0 26.14
DEPTH25.8 25.65
OVERALL291.9 26.61

Key Additions                        Key Losses
Rougned Odor (Draft)                 Joe Panik
Prince Fielder (Draft)               Devin Travis
Ketel Marte (Draft)                  
Roberto Osuna (Draft)
Orlando Arcia (Draft)

#13  Jordan Good
Jordan, buddy, it's time for some tough love here.  I love the addition of Matz & Ventura.  You also traded for Gomez & Santana all great additions.  But a lot of your team should have been dropped man!  It's not like they are aging ungracefully   They simply just are not very good.  Your SP's are fine but you should have blown up your bullpen.  Threw Ian Desmond in the trash after a persnal vendetta of scoring you -17 last year in week 1 with all those errors, pumped up your 2B position a bit more and you would be ranked in the top ten.  Enough ranting here though Andrelton Simmons was a perfect add in place of Desmond.  And the biggest weakness I see here is a lack of free agent cash again.

GroupProj. Ave. Age
C/IF78.7 24.06
OF/DH67.6 29.57
SPs101.2 28.43
RPs41.0 26.14
DEPTH25.8 25.65
OVERALL291.9 26.61

Key Additions                        Key Losses
Yordano Ventura (Trade)              Zack Cozart
Steven Matz (Trade)
Carlos Gomez (Trade)
Carlos Santana (Trade)
Andrelton Simmons (Draft)
Alex Gordon (Trade)

#14  Jeff Kelm
Next to Jon's and my own team this has become one of my favorites.  Granted he is in rebuilding mode Jeff played it smartly and kept  half of his aging players so he can try to contend in an exceptionally strong AL pool.  I believe the strategy on this one is sound as half his players are rookies and prospects and the other half well on the downslope of their careers.  For example his Starting pitching is 3rd youngest but relief pitching is the oldest.  Adding Judge at the end of last season appears to be a wise pickup as he in my believe is the best prospect out there.  His infield is one of the youngest and one of the best already and his outfield outside of Holiday is young and coming into their own.  Weakness wise his bullpen is aging, inconsistent and/or injury prone.  That's going to hold him back a bit.  But average RPs come a dime a dozen on free agency so simple fix there when the time comes.

GroupProj. Ave. Age
C/IF84.9 26.92
OF/DH59.5 28.37
SPs85.5 25.96
RPs51.3 33.47
DEPTH11.3 25.15
OVERALL271.7 27.85

Key Additions                        Key Losses
Ryan Zimmerman (Draft)               Taylor Jungmann
Dansby Swanson (Draft)

#15  Bill Kluge
We'll start with the foundation is good.  Dee Gordon is a beast d'Arnaud is the catcher to keep, Souza is still underrated  and that's all the positives I can find here.  The issue is there are not any prospects to give me any hope of this really ending well.  It is the 2nd oldest team and despite being in by far the easiest division it still will be a challenge to get to.ten wins and contend with the other teams from the NL East.

GroupProj. Ave. Age
C/IF76.3 28.94
OF/DH60.1 28.13
SPs85.5 30.15
RPs50.5 33.44
DEPTH19.9 27.92
OVERALL271.5 29.71

Key Additions                        Key Losses
Lucas Duda )Draft)                   Mike Leake
Delino DeShields (Draft)
Kenta Maeda (Draft)
Tanner Roark (Draft)

#16  Nate Good
So remember a few years ago when I said watch out for Nater's team?  Oops...  His team is still pretty young but it's upkeep isn't very good.  Yes Nate you have a lot of keepers.  Just not 23 of them.  The bullpen should have been dropped in its entirety.  Avila is one of the worst catchers out there and though there's still time for the offense to become one of the best in the league that hope is starting to fade with every passing year.  You have two good 3B's, go get yourself a great LF & SS bro.  And like your brother Jordan another issue is a lack of free agent cash because you kept so many again.  What it comes down to is a bad team in arguably the strongest division and you have yourself a recipe for complete disaster on a monumental scale!  I'm talking like a Jeff Maye 0-21 type of schedule.  

GroupProj. Ave. Age
C/IF75.6 27.74
OF/DH76.9 25.52
SPs78.5 26.47
RPs28.8 28.62
DEPTH16.8 27.02
OVERALL256.9 27.13

Key Additions                        Key Losses
Yoan Moncada )Trade)